Tijuana vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Tijuana
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Necaxa
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
Tijuana 1-2 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa nicked a narrow win over Tijuana 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, Tijuana had 53% of the ball to Necaxa's 47%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.15 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tijuana.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 1.33 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Necaxa?
Tijuana 1-2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 32%, draw 28%, Necaxa 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.