Molde 1-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 9 Aug 2025

Molde
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
HamKam
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Molde vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
10%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.43
Over
66%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.18
2-3
43%
2.0
4-5
31%
2.77
6+
11%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1.62
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
17.7
X/1
21%
3.98
X/2
4%
15.15
X/X
9%
7.51
2/1 ✗
3%
19.95
2/2
5%
12.0
2/X
3%
20.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 3% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Molde v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Molde The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam The Market 16%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.56 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.73
1.05 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.38
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
38 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1

Molde vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HamKam
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.80 xG 0.79
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
554 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.05.2025 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
25.08.2024 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.04.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
03.12.2023 Molde Molde 1-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.10.2022 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 4-0 HamKam HamKam NOR

Molde 1-0 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
1 - 0
AWAY HamKam
2.92 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
442 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
REVIEW Molde vs HamKam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Molde found just enough to beat HamKam 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (66%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Molde had 54% of the ball to HamKam's 46%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.92 to 1.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Molde's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Molde and 0.50 for HamKam.

Molde vs HamKam Result & Final Score

Molde 1 - 0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Molde vs HamKam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Molde 75%, draw 15%, HamKam 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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