FK Rodina Moskva vs Arsenal Tula Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Rodina Moskva v Arsenal Tula — Team-Based Signals
FK Rodina Moskva vs Arsenal Tula Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
FK Rodina Moskva
RUS1
1-2
HT 1-0
FK Rodina Moskva
RUK
2-3
HT 1-2
FK Rodina Moskva
RUS1
FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Arsenal Tula — Actual Match Statistics
FK Rodina Moskva and Arsenal Tula couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 57% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 43%, shots finished 13-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.20 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Arsenal Tula?
FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 37%, draw 30%, Arsenal Tula 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.