Sokol Saratov 1-1 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.9pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.73/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.18
-32% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-2 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
29.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-0 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
08.05.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-0 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
17.09.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 5-3 HT 4-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-1
AWAY Chernomorets
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov and Chernomorets shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 49% of the ball to Chernomorets's 51%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chernomorets led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sokol Saratov and 2.50 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Chernomorets?

Sokol Saratov 1-1 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 34%, draw 24%, Chernomorets 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chernomorets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5
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