Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Export Sebaco edged past Jalapa 1-0 away from home in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 9 Aug 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jalapa and 0.50 for Export Sebaco.
What was the final score of Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?
Jalapa 0-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?
Before kick-off our model rated an Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 37%, draw 24%, Export Sebaco 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.