Sierra Leone 2-0 Etiyopya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.77
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sierra Leone EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 24%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.09/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sierra Leone
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Etiyopya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
1 Total Shots 2
3 Corners 4
15.11.2023 Etiyopya Etiyopya 0-0 HT 0-0 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone DKE
09.09.2018 Etiyopya Etiyopya 1-0 HT 1-0 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sierra Leone
2-0
AWAY Etiyopya
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sierra Leone vs Etiyopya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sierra Leone beat Etiyopya 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sierra Leone as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sierra Leone had 53% of the ball to Etiyopya's 47%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Etiyopya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sierra Leone and 0.50 for Etiyopya.

What was the final score of Sierra Leone vs Etiyopya?

Sierra Leone 2-0 Etiyopya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sierra Leone vs Etiyopya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sierra Leone win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sierra Leone 46%, draw 31%, Etiyopya 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sierra Leone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sierra Leone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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