Norveç 11-1 Moldova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

Norveç
11-1 HT 5-0
Moldova
📅09/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Norveç vs Moldova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
86%
1.11
Draw
7%
8.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.58
Over 2.5
69%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.81
No
48%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
10.2
2-3 Goals
41%
2.59
4-5 Goals
32%
2.24
6+ Goals
11%
3.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.06
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
2%
34.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
38%
4.16
X/2
1%
34.5
X/X
2%
19.15
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
4%
34.5
2/X
3%
34.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.16 — our 38% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
86%
Home Win
85%
+0.5pp
8%
Draw
8%
-0.8pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.3pp
31%
Under 2.5
18%
+12.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
82%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
32%
+20.9pp
48%
BTTS No
68%
-20.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norveç v Moldova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova EU Bookmakers 9%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
4.23/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.56
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -12%
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
534 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 77%
71.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
40.5 Crosses 12.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Norveç vs Moldova Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Moldova
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.95 xG 0.76
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
565 Passes 212
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.03.2025 Moldova Moldova 0-5 HT 0-4 Norveç Norveç DKE
08.09.2007 Moldova Moldova 0-1 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç AVR
06.09.2006 Norveç Norveç 2-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova AVR
08.10.2005 Norveç Norveç 1-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova DKE
30.03.2005 Moldova Moldova 0-0 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç DKE

Norveç 11-1 Moldova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç
11-1
AWAY Moldova
71% Ball Possession 29%
34 Total Shots 2
17 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
594 Passes 207
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Norveç vs Moldova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç cruised past Moldova 11-1. Half-time: 5-0. 12 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Norveç as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 11-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%) came in.

On the day, Norveç had 71% of the ball to Moldova's 29%, shots finished 34-2.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Norveç had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Norveç and 0.00 for Moldova.

What was the final score of Norveç vs Moldova?

Norveç 11-1 Moldova in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç vs Moldova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norveç win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split Norveç 86%, draw 8%, Moldova 7%. The final score 11-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norveç), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norveç) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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