El Salvador vs Surinam Prediction — Model Probabilities
El Salvador v Surinam — Team-Based Signals
El Salvador vs Surinam Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
El Salvador 1-2 Surinam — Actual Match Statistics
Surinam shaded a tight game against El Salvador 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
We leaned El Salvador at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: El Salvador had 45% of the ball to Surinam's 55%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.68.
El Salvador vs Surinam Result & Final Score
El Salvador 1 - 2 Surinam in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
El Salvador vs Surinam Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 42%, draw 34%, Surinam 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.