El Salvador vs Surinam Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Salvador v Surinam — Team-Based Signals
El Salvador vs Surinam Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
El Salvador 1-2 Surinam — Actual Match Statistics
Surinam squeezed past El Salvador 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was El Salvador at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Salvador had 45% of the ball to Surinam's 55%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.68.
What was the final score of El Salvador vs Surinam?
El Salvador 1-2 Surinam in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Salvador vs Surinam?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 44%, draw 32%, Surinam 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.