El Salvador 1-1 Surinam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
12%
5.31
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.15 — our 39% vs market 38.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.0pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Salvador EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Surinam EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Salvador
1-1
AWAY Surinam
1.24 xG 0.53
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
170 Passes 404
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH El Salvador vs Surinam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Salvador and Surinam shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, El Salvador had 33% of the ball to Surinam's 67%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 1.24 to 0.53.

What was the final score of El Salvador vs Surinam?

El Salvador 1-1 Surinam in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Salvador vs Surinam?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 38%, draw 30%, Surinam 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Salvador), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Salvador) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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