Panama vs Guatemala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Panama v Guatemala — Team-Based Signals
Panama vs Guatemala Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Guatemala
CON
1-1
HT 0-1
Panama
CON
Panama 1-1 Guatemala — Actual Match Statistics
Panama and Guatemala shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Panama at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Panama had 72% of the ball to Guatemala's 28%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Panama had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Panama and 0.33 for Guatemala.
What was the final score of Panama vs Guatemala?
Panama 1-1 Guatemala in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Panama vs Guatemala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Panama 63%, draw 21%, Guatemala 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Panama), Over 2.5 went the other way.