Moldova 0-5 Norveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 22 Mar 2025

Moldova
0-5 HT 0-4
Norveç
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Moldova vs Norveç Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
14%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
15.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.4
1/X
5%
24.3
X/1
7%
17.05
X/2
23%
3.66
X/X
10%
6.71
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.57
2/X
6%
20.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
64%
Away Win
71%
-6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moldova v Norveç — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç EU Bookmakers 75%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.59/2.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.43/0.08
-58% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / –
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
215 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 84%
6.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 56.2
9.2 Crosses 27.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 0.5

Moldova vs Norveç Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moldova
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Norveç
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
08.09.2007 Moldova Moldova 0-1 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç AVR
06.09.2006 Norveç Norveç 2-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova AVR
08.10.2005 Norveç Norveç 1-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova DKE
30.03.2005 Moldova Moldova 0-0 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç DKE

Moldova 0-5 Norveç — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova
0-5
AWAY Norveç
0.76 xG 2.95
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
212 Passes 565
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moldova vs Norveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç cruised past Moldova 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norveç as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moldova had 31% of the ball to Norveç's 69%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 0.76 to 2.95.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Norveç led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Moldova and 1.00 for Norveç.

What was the final score of Moldova vs Norveç?

Moldova 0-5 Norveç in the World Cup Qualifiers on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova vs Norveç?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norveç win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Moldova 15%, draw 21%, Norveç 64%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norveç), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norveç) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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