Etiyopya 0-2 Mısır — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.75
No
50%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+11.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
57%
Away Win
72%
-14.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
32%
+18.1pp
50%
BTTS No
68%
-18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.33/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.54
-35% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
184 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etiyopya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mısır
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.89 xG 0.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
351 Passes 442
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Mısır Mısır 1-0 HT 1-0 Etiyopya Etiyopya AFUK
09.06.2022 Etiyopya Etiyopya 2-0 HT 2-0 Mısır Mısır AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etiyopya
0-2
AWAY Mısır
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
0 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Etiyopya vs Mısır
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır beat Etiyopya 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mısır as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Etiyopya had 37% of the ball to Mısır's 63%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Etiyopya and 0.50 for Mısır.

What was the final score of Etiyopya vs Mısır?

Etiyopya 0-2 Mısır in the World Cup Qualifiers on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etiyopya vs Mısır?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Etiyopya 19%, draw 23%, Mısır 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mısır), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mısır) ✓ Under 2.5
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