Lihtenştayn 0-3 Kuzey Makedonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
16.01
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
69%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 30% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
32.5
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
3%
31.0
X/2
25%
3.47
X/X
7%
8.16
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
40%
1.32
2/X
5%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
4%
+9.7pp
17%
Draw
15%
+1.5pp
69%
Away Win
80%
-11.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.7pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lihtenştayn EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 84%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.08/3.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.74/0.09
-64% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +150%
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 85%
2.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 55.0
4.7 Crosses 33.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lihtenştayn
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.08 xG 3.32
24% Ball Possession 76%
3 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
146 Passes 646
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
4 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2021 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 0-4 HT 0-1 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
28.03.2021 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 5-0 HT 1-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
09.10.2017 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 4-0 HT 2-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
24.03.2017 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 0-3 HT 0-1 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
POST-MATCH Lihtenştayn vs Kuzey Makedonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya ran out comfortable winners over Lihtenştayn 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kuzey Makedonya as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lihtenştayn and 4.00 for Kuzey Makedonya.

What was the final score of Lihtenştayn vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Lihtenştayn 0-3 Kuzey Makedonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lihtenştayn vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Lihtenştayn 14%, draw 17%, Kuzey Makedonya 69%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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