Togo 2-2 Moritanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.75
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Togo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Moritanya EU Bookmakers 22%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.60/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Togo
2-2
AWAY Moritanya
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Togo vs Moritanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Togo and Moritanya couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Togo at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Togo had 33% of the ball to Moritanya's 67%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Togo vs Moritanya?

Togo 2-2 Moritanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Togo vs Moritanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Togo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Togo 53%, draw 25%, Moritanya 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Togo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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