Uruguay 0-1 Arjantin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 22 Mar 2025

Uruguay
0-1 HT 0-0
Arjantin
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Uruguay vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
15%
5.14
X/2
12%
5.84
X/X
13%
3.35
2/1
12%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.71
2/X
12%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uruguay v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.35/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.94
+127% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.4 Crosses 11.9
3.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Uruguay vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arjantin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 1.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
274 Passes 530
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2023 Arjantin Arjantin 0-2 HT 0-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
13.11.2021 Uruguay Uruguay 0-1 HT 0-1 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
11.10.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 3-0 HT 2-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
19.06.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Uruguay Uruguay AKU
18.11.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 2-2 HT 0-1 Uruguay Uruguay HAZ
01.09.2017 Uruguay Uruguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin DKE

Uruguay 0-1 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay
0-1
AWAY Arjantin
0.19 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
446 Passes 354
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uruguay vs Arjantin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin nicked a narrow win over Uruguay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Arjantin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uruguay had 55% of the ball to Arjantin's 45%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.19 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uruguay and 1.17 for Arjantin.

What was the final score of Uruguay vs Arjantin?

Uruguay 0-1 Arjantin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay vs Arjantin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uruguay 39%, draw 31%, Arjantin 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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