09/10/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Astur vs Burgos Promesas 2000 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
23%
Draw
22%
25%
Away Win
17%
49%
Under 2.5
46%
51%
Over 2.5
54%
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
56%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Astur v Burgos Promesas 2000 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Astur
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Burgos Promesas 2000
EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
430 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
242 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Astur vs Burgos Promesas 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Astur saw off Burgos Promesas 2000 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Astur as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Astur vs Burgos Promesas 2000?
Astur 2-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Astur vs Burgos Promesas 2000?
Before kick-off our model rated a Astur win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Astur 52%, draw 23%, Burgos Promesas 2000 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astur), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Astur)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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