09/10/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
San Tirso vs Selaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
26%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
27%
55%
Under 2.5
56%
45%
Over 2.5
44%
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
59%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Tirso v Selaya — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Tirso
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Selaya
EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
264 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
266 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
San Tirso vs Selaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Tirso and Selaya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
What was the final score of San Tirso vs Selaya?
San Tirso 1-1 Selaya in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Tirso vs Selaya?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Tirso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Tirso 39%, draw 26%, Selaya 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Tirso), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (San Tirso)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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