Villamuriel vs Aurrera de Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Villamuriel v Aurrera de Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Villamuriel shaded a tight game against Aurrera de Vitoria 1-0.
File this under upsets: a 61% lean on Aurrera de Vitoria went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. At 1.85 (~54%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Villamuriel vs Aurrera de Vitoria Result & Final Score
Villamuriel 1 - 0 Aurrera de Vitoria in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Villamuriel vs Aurrera de Vitoria Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Aurrera de Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Villamuriel 16%, draw 23%, Aurrera de Vitoria 61%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.