San Pedro 4-2 Ceuta 6 de Junio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.11
Draw
25%
8.11
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
3.68
Over Pick
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.19
No
43%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
85%
-32.0pp
25%
Draw
9%
+15.5pp
23%
Away Win
6%
+16.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
42%
+15.2pp
43%
BTTS No
58%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Pedro EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta 6 de Junio EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
508 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH San Pedro vs Ceuta 6 de Junio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Pedro saw off Ceuta 6 de Junio 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Pedro as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of San Pedro vs Ceuta 6 de Junio?

San Pedro 4-2 Ceuta 6 de Junio in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Pedro vs Ceuta 6 de Junio?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Pedro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split San Pedro 53%, draw 25%, Ceuta 6 de Junio 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Pedro), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Pedro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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