09/10/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-2
Chiclana vs Melilla CD Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
85%
23%
Draw
9%
23%
Away Win
6%
44%
Under 2.5
28%
56%
Over 2.5
72%
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
48%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chiclana v Melilla CD — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chiclana
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Melilla CD
EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-18% /
-18%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+43%
/
-50%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
8
Corners
3
498 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
262 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Chiclana vs Melilla CD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chiclana cruised past Melilla CD 4-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chiclana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Chiclana vs Melilla CD?
Chiclana 4-0 Melilla CD in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chiclana vs Melilla CD?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chiclana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chiclana 53%, draw 23%, Melilla CD 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chiclana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chiclana)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İSPK
More Spain - Copa del Rey
9 Oct 2024