09/10/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Vic vs Sporting Mahón Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Vic win — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
20%
Draw
17%
20%
Away Win
10%
50%
Under 2.5
39%
50%
Over 2.5
61%
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
58%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vic v Sporting Mahón — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vic
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sporting Mahón
EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
64%
Ball Possession
36%
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
2
455 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
225 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vic vs Sporting Mahón
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vic swept aside Sporting Mahón 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vic as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Vic vs Sporting Mahón?
Vic 4-0 Sporting Mahón in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vic vs Sporting Mahón?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vic win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vic 61%, draw 20%, Sporting Mahón 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vic), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Vic)
✓ BTTS No
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