America Mineiro 1-1 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Oct 2025

📅09/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
22%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.58
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.22
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
15%
4.92
6+
3%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME America Mineiro The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
0.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vila Nova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.44 xG 0.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
332 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-3 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
26.08.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
09.05.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
16.10.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
20.07.2019 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
20.09.2017 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
1 - 1
AWAY Vila Nova
0.97 xG 1.29
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
365 Passes 171
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW America Mineiro vs Vila Nova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

America Mineiro and Vila Nova finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned America Mineiro at 48% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (62%) came in, no to both teams scoring (55%) didn't.

On the day, America Mineiro had 65% of the ball to Vila Nova's 35%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.97 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for America Mineiro and 0.50 for Vila Nova.

America Mineiro vs Vila Nova Result & Final Score

America Mineiro 1 - 1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

America Mineiro vs Vila Nova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 48%, draw 30%, Vila Nova 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America Mineiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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