Burundi 0-1 Kenya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Oct 2025

📅09/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burundi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kenya EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burundi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kenya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2024 Kenya Kenya 1-1 HT 0-0 Burundi Burundi DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burundi
0-1
AWAY Kenya
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burundi vs Kenya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kenya nicked a narrow win over Burundi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Kenya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Burundi had 44% of the ball to Kenya's 56%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Burundi vs Kenya?

Burundi 0-1 Kenya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burundi vs Kenya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burundi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Burundi 40%, draw 33%, Kenya 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burundi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burundi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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