Botsvana 0-1 Uganda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Oct 2025

📅09/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.74
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botsvana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda EU Bookmakers 45%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botsvana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Uganda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
1 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2024 Uganda Uganda 1-0 HT 0-0 Botsvana Botsvana DKE
13.06.2015 Uganda Uganda 2-0 HT 0-0 Botsvana Botsvana AFR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botsvana
0-1
AWAY Uganda
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botsvana vs Uganda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda edged past Botsvana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Uganda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Botsvana had 36% of the ball to Uganda's 64%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uganda led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Botsvana and 1.50 for Uganda.

What was the final score of Botsvana vs Uganda?

Botsvana 0-1 Uganda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botsvana vs Uganda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uganda win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Botsvana 34%, draw 31%, Uganda 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uganda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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