Mozambik 1-2 Gine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Oct 2025

📅09/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.18
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.09
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mozambik EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine EU Bookmakers 36%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.21/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.67
+91% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +76%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mozambik
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gine
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.06.2024 Gine Gine 0-1 HT 0-0 Mozambik Mozambik DKE
09.06.2013 Gine Gine 6-1 HT 3-1 Mozambik Mozambik DKE
24.03.2013 Mozambik Mozambik 0-0 HT 0-0 Gine Gine DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mozambik
1-2
AWAY Gine
75% Ball Possession 25%
0 Total Shots 2
0 Shots on Target 1
POST-MATCH Mozambik vs Gine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gine edged past Mozambik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mozambik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mozambik had 75% of the ball to Gine's 25%, shots finished 0-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mozambik and 2.00 for Gine.

What was the final score of Mozambik vs Gine?

Mozambik 1-2 Gine in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mozambik vs Gine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mozambik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mozambik 42%, draw 26%, Gine 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mozambik), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mozambik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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