Gine 0-1 Mozambik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jun 2024

📅10/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gine EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mozambik EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.59/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.93/1.97
+5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gine
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mozambik
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.06.2013 Gine Gine 6-1 HT 3-1 Mozambik Mozambik DKE
24.03.2013 Mozambik Mozambik 0-0 HT 0-0 Gine Gine DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gine
0-1
AWAY Mozambik
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gine vs Mozambik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mozambik squeezed past Gine 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gine at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gine had 56% of the ball to Mozambik's 44%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gine had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Gine and 0.50 for Mozambik.

What was the final score of Gine vs Mozambik?

Gine 0-1 Mozambik in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gine vs Mozambik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gine win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gine 46%, draw 28%, Mozambik 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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