Hemel Hempstead Town 0-4 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.46/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.40
+4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
02.12.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
07.01.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
13.08.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
15.04.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
04.12.2021 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0-4
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond cruised past Hemel Hempstead Town 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hampton & Richmond found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 53% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 47%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.83 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

Hemel Hempstead Town 0-4 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 40%, draw 25%, Hampton & Richmond 35%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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