Southport 1-2 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.34/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.09
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
21.10.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
07.01.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-1 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
13.08.2022 Southport Southport 0-3 HT 0-2 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
1-2
AWAY Peterborough Sports
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports squeezed past Southport 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Peterborough Sports found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Southport had 55% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 45%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Peterborough Sports led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Southport and 1.75 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Southport vs Peterborough Sports?

Southport 1-2 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southport 40%, draw 30%, Peterborough Sports 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southport), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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