Annan Athletic 1-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
7%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.0pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.29/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.61
-4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
31.08.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 5-1 HT 2-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
06.05.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
04.03.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-3 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
08.10.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-2 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
06.08.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
02.04.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic and Stenhousemuir couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Annan Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Annan Athletic and 2.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Annan Athletic 1-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 41%, draw 23%, Stenhousemuir 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Annan Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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