Queen Of The South 1-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
12%
16.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.77 — our 23% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.67/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.35
+6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.08.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
23.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
13.01.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
11.11.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
05.08.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-4 HT 2-4 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
08.04.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South and Alloa Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queen Of The South and 1.17 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Queen Of The South 1-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 39%, draw 32%, Alloa Athletic 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queen Of The South), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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