Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.47
X/2
16%
7.0
X/X
11%
4.43
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.33
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.27/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.21
-19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 68%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.4 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 174
63% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
15.08.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-1 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
14.01.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
24.09.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
26.02.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
07.08.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
2-0
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.01 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
247 Passes 302
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion got the better of Shrewsbury 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Burton Albion found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 46% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 54%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.01 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burton Albion and 1.67 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury?

Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 40%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burton Albion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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