Wrexham vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wrexham v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals
Wrexham vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Wrexham
FAK
0-0
HT 0-0
Wrexham
İN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Wrexham
İBSL
2-1
HT 0-0
Mansfield Town
İBSL
2-0
HT 1-0
Wrexham
İBSL
Wrexham 1-0 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics
Wrexham squeezed past Mansfield Town 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Wrexham had 39% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 61%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.05 to 1.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wrexham and 0.83 for Mansfield Town.
What was the final score of Wrexham vs Mansfield Town?
Wrexham 1-0 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Mansfield Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 47%, draw 27%, Mansfield Town 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.