Stockport County 5-0 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.92
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.81
X/2
7%
5.36
X/X
16%
4.63
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.5
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
-21% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.15/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.92
-89% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.0 Crosses 15.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.64 xG 2.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
318 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-2 HT 0-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK
17.11.2021 Stockport County Stockport County 5-3 HT 2-3 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers FAK
07.11.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-2 Stockport County Stockport County FAK
25.07.2017 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers HAZ
03.04.2001 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNCL
21.10.2000 Stockport County Stockport County 4-3 HT 3-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
5-0
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.88 xG 0.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 440
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County cruised past Bolton Wanderers 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Stockport County made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stockport County had 39% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 61%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.88 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.83 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Bolton Wanderers?

Stockport County 5-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 35%, draw 29%, Bolton Wanderers 36%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5
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