Peterborough United 6-1 Cambridge United — Result, Stats & Model Review (England - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024)

Peterborough United

6-1 HT 4-0

Cambridge United

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗

England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Cambridge United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

48%

1.75

Draw

26%

3.72

Away

26%

3.83

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

2.21

Over 2.5

47%

1.6

Both Teams to Score

Yes

48%

1.6

52%

2.19

Total Goals

0-1 Goal EV+ ✗

28%

4.54

2-3 Goals

40%

1.9

4-5 Goals

21%

2.89

6+ Goals

11%

8.31

Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 28% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

26%

2.23

1/2

34.5

1/X

13.7

X/1

15%

4.3

X/2

12%

9.13

X/X

14%

5.7

2/1

21.2

2/2

6.31

2/X

14.15

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

◎

Our call

Under 2.5 — 53% ✗

Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.

STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

48%

Home Win

53%

-4.9pp

26%

Draw

24%

+2.2pp

26%

Away Win

23%

+2.6pp

53%

Under 2.5

41%

+11.2pp

47%

Over 2.5

59%

-11.2pp

48%

BTTS Yes

58%

-10.1pp

52%

BTTS No

42%

+10.1pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Cambridge United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 57%

Head to Head

AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 26%

-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%

1.76/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.11

+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%

55% Ball Possession 45%

15 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Target 2

6 Corners 4

353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%

25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5

23.6 Crosses 18.4

1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Peterborough United vs Cambridge United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Peterborough United

4W-1D-1L

AWAY Cambridge United

1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50

1.36 xG 0.99

59% Ball Possession 41%

14 Total Shots 11

3 Shots on Target 4

4 Corners 4

457 Passes 268

83% Pass Accuracy 72%

20 Box Touches 17

19 Crosses 17

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

24.02.2024 Cambridge United

0-1 HT 0-0

Peterborough United İN1

11.11.2023 Peterborough United

5-0 HT 3-0

Cambridge United İN1

12.09.2023 Peterborough United

2-0 HT 1-0

Cambridge United İNTK

15.04.2023 Cambridge United

2-0 HT 1-0

Peterborough United İN1

29.10.2022 Peterborough United

1-0 HT 1-0

Cambridge United İN1

10.11.2020 Cambridge United

1-1 HT 0-0

Peterborough United İNTK

Peterborough United 6-1 Cambridge United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Peterborough United

6-1

AWAY Cambridge United

3.07 xG 0.74

55% Ball Possession 45%

12 Total Shots 11

9 Shots on Target 3

3 Corners 8

380 Passes 266

83% Pass Accuracy 74%

25 Box Touches 23

12 Crosses 22

2 Yellow Cards 1

POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Cambridge United

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United ran out comfortable winners over Cambridge United 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 55% of the ball to Cambridge United's 45%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 3.07 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough United and 0.50 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Cambridge United?

Peterborough United 6-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 48%, draw 26%, Cambridge United 26%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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