Pescara 1-0 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-14.8pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
2.04/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.72
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sestri Levante
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2024 Pescara Pescara 3-0 HT 2-0 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
19.09.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 1-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
1-0
AWAY Sestri Levante
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara nicked a narrow win over Sestri Levante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pescara had 66% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 34%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pescara had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pescara and 0.50 for Sestri Levante.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Sestri Levante?

Pescara 1-0 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pescara 56%, draw 26%, Sestri Levante 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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