Ansbach 09 1-0 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-13.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 62%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -26%
0.52/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.20
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.22 xG 1.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
188 Passes 460
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.07.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 2-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-2 HT 2-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
11.11.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-1 HT 1-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
22.07.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 squeezed past Bayern München II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ansbach 09 and 2.40 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Bayern München II?

Ansbach 09 1-0 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 30%, draw 25%, Bayern München II 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II)
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