Ansbach 09 0-2 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 50%
+19% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.53/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/1.53
+12% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.6
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.42 xG 2.03
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
189 Passes 508
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-2 HT 2-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
11.11.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-1 HT 1-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
22.07.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansbach 09
0-2
AWAY Bayern München II
0.52 xG 0.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
214 Passes 320
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II got the better of Ansbach 09 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Bayern München II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ansbach 09 had 43% of the ball to Bayern München II's 57%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.52 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ansbach 09 and 2.67 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Bayern München II?

Ansbach 09 0-2 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 33%, draw 26%, Bayern München II 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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