Bayern München II 2-2 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.46
Over 2.5
58%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
25%
+16.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
75%
-16.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.51/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.97
+21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.6 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ansbach 09
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.64 xG 1.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
461 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-2 HT 2-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
11.11.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-1 HT 1-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
22.07.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
2-2
AWAY Ansbach 09
2.83 xG 1.32
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
455 Passes 156
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II and Ansbach 09 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayern München II at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München II had 70% of the ball to Ansbach 09's 30%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.83 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bayern München II and 1.25 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Ansbach 09?

Bayern München II 2-2 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 62%, draw 21%, Ansbach 09 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayern München II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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