Adelaide United vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide United v Western United — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide United vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Adelaide United
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-1
Western United
AVUS
2-3
HT 1-0
Adelaide United
AVUS
2-4
HT 0-3
Adelaide United
AVUS
Adelaide United 2-1 Western United — Actual Match Statistics
Adelaide United squeezed past Western United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Adelaide United had 54% of the ball to Western United's 46%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.56 to 1.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Adelaide United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Adelaide United and 1.67 for Western United.
What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Western United?
Adelaide United 2-1 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Western United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 49%, draw 22%, Western United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.