Sparta Prag vs Teplice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sparta Prag v Teplice — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs Teplice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sparta Prag 2-2 Teplice — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Prag and Teplice couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sparta Prag at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.27, about 79% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. At 1.51 (~66%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, possession split 74% to 26% in Sparta Prag's favour, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.37 to 1.21.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Sparta Prag against 1.17 for Teplice.
Sparta Prag vs Teplice Result & Final Score
Sparta Prag 2-2 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sparta Prag vs Teplice Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 72%, draw 18%, Teplice 10%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.