Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.20/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.90
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Almeria II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Almeria II Almeria II 0-1 HT 0-1 Xerez Deportivo İS4
16.11.2024 Xerez Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1-1
AWAY Almeria II
72% Ball Possession 28%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo and Almeria II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez Deportivo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 72% of the ball to Almeria II's 28%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Xerez Deportivo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Xerez Deportivo and 0.00 for Almeria II.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Almeria II?

Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 44%, draw 26%, Almeria II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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