Almeria II 0-1 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 34%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.40/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.26
+26% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Xerez Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
0-1
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo squeezed past Almeria II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Almeria II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almeria II had 65% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 35%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Xerez Deportivo?

Almeria II 0-1 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 42%, draw 28%, Xerez Deportivo 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almeria II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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