Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.8
Over
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.11
2-3
35%
1.77
4-5
27%
3.64
6+
10%
15.05
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.24
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
9%
7.1
X/2
17%
4.91
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.96
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.01
+28% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +21%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
16.5 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.47 xG 2.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
260 Passes 440
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 4-1 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.11.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
18.08.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
05.12.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
27.08.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.03.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.67 xG 1.68
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
186 Passes 434
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol and Rapid Wien shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 34% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 66%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.67 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.83 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Rapid Wien?

Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 28%, draw 29%, Rapid Wien 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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