Velez Mostar 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.80/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.29
+5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 3-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
13.04.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-2 HT 2-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
08.02.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSK
29.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
24.08.2024 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 4-3 HT 2-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
15.04.2022 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar edged past Radnik Bijeljina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.83 for Radnik Bijeljina.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Velez Mostar 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 59%, draw 26%, Radnik Bijeljina 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
9 Nov 2025
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