Thisted 1-2 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2025

Thisted
1-2 HT 1-2
Naestved
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Thisted vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
15%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thisted v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.30/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.92
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Thisted vs Naestved Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Naestved
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Naestved Naestved 0-2 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
09.03.2025 Naestved Naestved 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
01.09.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
07.11.2021 Naestved Naestved 4-3 HT 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
25.09.2021 Thisted Thisted 2-1 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved squeezed past Thisted 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Thisted at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Thisted and 1.60 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Naestved?

Thisted 1-2 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Thisted 43%, draw 24%, Naestved 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thisted), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thisted) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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