Independiente Del Valle 0-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.33/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.27
+25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.3 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
398 Passes 333
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Uni. Catolica 0-3 HT 0-3 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.03.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
28.09.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 5-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.04.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
26.08.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
01.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-3 HT 2-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
0-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.84 xG 2.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 365
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica got the better of Independiente Del Valle 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 44% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 56%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.84 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.33 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica?

Independiente Del Valle 0-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 48%, draw 24%, Uni. Catolica 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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