Nevezis 4-3 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.79/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.99
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 1-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
23.08.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 6-0 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
29.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
22.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
03.06.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis nicked a narrow win over Kauno Zalgiris II 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Nevezis and 1.40 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Nevezis 4-3 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 49%, draw 22%, Kauno Zalgiris II 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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