Atmosfera 2-2 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.28/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.75
+47% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
2W-1D-2L
AWAY BFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.06.2025 BFA BFA 1-0 HT 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
13.10.2024 BFA BFA 0-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
25.05.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-1 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
29.10.2022 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
23.06.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera and BFA shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atmosfera and 0.80 for BFA.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs BFA?

Atmosfera 2-2 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 52%, draw 20%, BFA 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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