Cancun FC 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.7pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
+3% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.02.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.09.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
10.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.10.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
12.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
07.09.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cancun FC
0-1
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg squeezed past Cancun FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cancun FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cancun FC had 66% of the ball to Leones Negros Udeg's 34%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cancun FC and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Cancun FC 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 44%, draw 27%, Leones Negros Udeg 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cancun FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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