Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+11.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
2.61/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.44
+38% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
08.09.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
10.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.10.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
12.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
07.09.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
14.04.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Cancun FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.67 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 51%, draw 21%, Cancun FC 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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